AJG Trading Desk
R2DPooHQ
Morning Brief
Thursday, April 09, 2026
🔴 BEAR REGIME
Regime: CHOP | Aggression: 2/4 | Favored: Mean Reversion, Range Fade, Tight Range Breakout
| Ticker | Price | Stage | Grade | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | ~$676.01 | Markup | C | Neutral |
| QQQ | ~$606.09 | Distribution | C | Neutral |
| IWM | ~$260.47 | Distribution | C | Neutral |
| USO | ~$124.58 | Accumulation | C | Neutral |
| LUNR | ~$23.39 | Markup | C | Neutral |
| UMAC | ~$12.85 | Decline | C | Neutral |
| ONDS | ~$9.45 | Decline | C | Neutral |
| LWLG | ~$8.39 | Decline | C | Neutral |
| SIDU | ~$3.64 | Distribution | C | Neutral |
| Support | 22.04 |
| Resistance | 25.0 |
| Decision zone | 22.04 to 25.0 |
| Hard stop | 23.42 |
| T1 target | 22.04 |
| T2 target | 22.04 |
| Invalidation | 23.42 |
| Support | 7.6 |
| Resistance | 9.03 |
| Decision zone | 7.6 to 9.03 |
| Hard stop | 8.39 |
| T1 target | 7.6 |
| T2 target | 7.6 |
| Invalidation | 8.39 |
| Support | 9.192 |
| Resistance | 10.37 |
| Decision zone | 9.192 to 10.37 |
| Hard stop | 9.47 |
| T1 target | 9.192 |
| T2 target | 9.192 |
| Invalidation | 9.47 |
| Support | 2.91 |
| Resistance | 4.265 |
| Decision zone | 2.91 to 4.265 |
| Hard stop | 3.6303 |
| T1 target | 2.91 |
| T2 target | 2.91 |
| Invalidation | 3.6303 |
| Support | 12.33 |
| Resistance | 14.4 |
| Decision zone | 12.33 to 14.4 |
| Hard stop | 12.82 |
| T1 target | 12.33 |
| T2 target | 12.33 |
| Invalidation | 12.82 |
| Support | 118.06 |
| Resistance | 143.98 |
| Decision zone | 118.06 to 143.98 |
| Hard stop | 124.44 |
| T1 target | 118.06 |
| T2 target | 118.06 |
| Invalidation | 124.44 |
Scanner Feed (20 posts from 4 accounts)
Priority 1 — Confirm the Tape at the Open (First 15-30 Minutes) Do not trade the first 15 minutes. Watch SPY $677.08 and QQQ $609.90. If price opens above these levels and immediately fades, the range-fade thesis is active. If price gaps down and holds, watch for mean-reversion long setups. If price is directionless and choppy, reduce the watchlist to zero active trades until a level is tested cleanly.
Priority 2 — USO at $124.44 / $123.85 This is the highest-quality setup on the board given the daily/weekly divergence. If USO stabilizes above $124.44 on the 30-minute chart in the first hour, a tactical long toward $125.23 is the play. Stop is $124.44. Size at 50% of normal. Do not hold through a break of $123.85.
Priority 3 — UMAC and ONDS at Support Watch UMAC $12.33 and ONDS $9.19. These are the defined support floors. If either is tested with a reversal candle and volume confirmation on the 5-minute chart, a tactical mean-reversion long is available. Stop is the low of the reversal candle. T1 is the midrange. Do not hold for T2 in this regime.
Priority 4 — Avoid Breakout Longs on SPY/QQQ/IWM The regime explicitly prohibits breakout longs and gap-and-go longs. If SPY opens above $677.08 or QQQ opens above $609.90, do not chase. These are resistance levels, not launch pads. The correct play at resistance in a chop regime is to wait for rejection, not to buy the break.
Priority 5 — SIDU and LUNR Are Watch-Only Unless Perfect Both names have diverging volume, mixed control, and wide ranges. In a chop regime, these are the names most likely to produce false signals and stop-outs. Do not force a trade in either. If LUNR tests $22.04 with a clean reversal, it becomes interesting. Otherwise, observe.
Priority 6 — Position Sizing: 50% of Normal Maximum Regime aggression is 2/4. No setup grades above C. Critical calendar risk is flagged. Maximum position size today is 50% of your normal unit. If a setup is unclear, drop to 25%. There is no scenario today where full-size is justified.
Priority 7 — If the Thesis Breaks If SPY breaks below $671.46 (daily low) with conviction, the chop regime may be resolving bearish. In that scenario: (a) close any long positions immediately, (b) do not add new longs, (c) watch $651.06 as the next major support. If SPY breaks above $677.08 with strong volume and holds for 30 minutes, the regime may be shifting bullish — but wait for confirmation before changing posture. One candle is not a regime change.
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*Report generated for AJG Trading Desk | Wednesday, April 08, 2026 | All levels sourced from Tier 2 KB-injected deep analysis. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This report is for informational purposes only.*
This report is produced by an automated multi-stage analytical pipeline. No human discretion is applied during generation — the system follows a deterministic, rule-based process.
Each ticker receives a composite grade (A+ through F) reflecting setup quality — not directional prediction. Factors: stage identification, timeframe alignment, trend quality, volume pattern, key level positioning, and risk clarity.
| Grade | Criteria | Position Sizing |
|---|---|---|
| A+ / A | All factors aligned, clean structure, strong volume | Full / near-full position |
| B+ / B | Good structure, most factors aligned, minor concerns | Standard / reduced position |
| C | Mixed signals, partial alignment, choppy structure | Watchlist — selective entries only |
| F | No setup, opposing timeframes, broken structure | No trade — avoid |
All tickers graded B- or better receive full chart review. All tickers appear in the watchlist table. Regime classification (Bull/Bear/Transitional) is determined by breadth, index structure, volatility regime, sector rotation, and cross-asset signals.
This report features 6 tickers: LUNR, LWLG, ONDS, SIDU, UMAC, USO.
Frameworks matched: